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Variance Based Sensitivity Analysis of FLake Lake Model for Global Land Surface Modeling

Abstract : Given the ever increasing spatial resolution of climate models and the significant role of lakes on the regional climate, it becomes important to represent water bodies in climate models. Such developments have started in the IPSL (Institut Pierre Simon Laplace) climate model and its land surface component, ORganizing Carbon and Hydrology In Dynamic Ecosystems (ORCHIDEE), with the Freshwater Lake model, FLake. To answer the questions raised by these new developments, such as the lake differentiation and related model parameters, we analyze spatial distributions of lake characteristics in the whole world to perform a global sensitivity analysis of the FLake parameters. As a result, three different climates and four lake depth configurations were selected as test cases. The Sobol method as sensitivity analysis based on variance decomposition was chosen to rank parameters impact on the model output, that is, lake surface water temperature, latent and sensible heat fluxes. We focus on the 11 parameters of the FLake model, which are the lake depth, the albedo and light extinction coefficient of water, snow, and ice respectively, the fetch, and the relaxation coefficient of the thermocline shape factor. The results show different sensitivity features according to the lake type and climate. The dominant role and time varying contribution of the lake depth, radiative parameters (albedo, light extinction coefficient) and thermocline relaxation coefficient linked to the atmospheric conditions, were clearly highlighted. These findings will lead us to distinguish between different lake categories in each grid cell of ORCHIDEE in the future implementation.
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https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03300813
Contributor : Catherine Ottle <>
Submitted on : Tuesday, July 27, 2021 - 12:09:31 PM
Last modification on : Thursday, July 29, 2021 - 4:00:58 AM

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Bernus_JGR2021.pdf
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A Bernus, C Ottlé, N Raoult. Variance Based Sensitivity Analysis of FLake Lake Model for Global Land Surface Modeling. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, American Geophysical Union, 2021, 126 (8), pp.e2019JD031928. ⟨10.1029/2019jd031928⟩. ⟨hal-03300813⟩

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